台風19号2019米軍基地最新動画情報!ヨーロッパやnhkと気象庁の最新情報を検証!


台風19号2019米軍基地最新動画情報!ヨーロッパやnhkと気象庁の最新情報を検証!

大型で強い勢力を保ったまま台風19号は12日の土曜日には関東地方に上陸する恐れがでています。

今後、台風19号の動きについてまとめていきたいと思います。

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台風19号の今後はどうなる?

大型で非常に強い勢力の台風19号は12日の土曜日にかけて関東地方に上陸する予想となっています。

今後、海は、更に大しけとなり11日には、猛烈なしけとなる予想です。

高波やうねりに厳重な注意してください。

台風19号気象庁最新情報がこちら。

台風第19号 (ハギビス)
令和元年10月11日00時45分 発表

<11日00時の実況>
大きさ 大型
強さ 非常に強い
存在地域 父島の西南西約370km
中心位置 北緯 25度40分(25.7度)
東経 138度50分(138.8度)
進行方向、速さ 北北西 15km/h(9kt)
中心気圧 920hPa
中心付近の最大風速 50m/s(100kt)
最大瞬間風速 70m/s(140kt)
25m/s以上の暴風域 東側 330km(180NM)
西側 240km(130NM)
15m/s以上の強風域 東側 750km(400NM)
西側 650km(350NM)

<11日12時の予報>
強さ 非常に強い
存在地域 父島の西約450km
予報円の中心 北緯 27度40分(27.7度)
東経 137度40分(137.7度)
進行方向、速さ 北北西 20km/h(11kt)
中心気圧 920hPa
中心付近の最大風速 50m/s(100kt)
最大瞬間風速 70m/s(140kt)
予報円の半径 40km(20NM)
暴風警戒域 東側 370km(200NM)
西側 280km(150NM)

出典元:気象庁HPより(https://www.jma.go.jp/jp/typh/)

台風19号最新情報進路予想とは?

台風19号の最新進路情報について確認してみましょう。

2019年最大で猛烈な台風19号が12日の土曜日に関東地方に上陸する予想となっています。

気象庁は、更に海は、大しけとはり高波や高潮に十分な注意が必要と注意を促しています。

また、愛する人がいる方は、危険を察知する前に避難するよう呼びかけています。

お住まいの避難場所を事前に調べておくようにしておきましょう。

台風19号は、今後最大瞬間風速が25メートル以上の暴風域になるとの予想しております。

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台風19号の名前は?

今回の台風19号の名前は、「ハギビス」ですね。

今回は、フィリピンが決めた名前です。

台風の名前の由来ですが「すばやい」という意味なんだそうです。

台風の名前については、14カ国が加盟する台風委員会がそれぞれの国から名前を提案し前もって140個作っておくとのことです。

台風が発生した順に使っていくようですね。

しかし、台風による被害が大きかった場合は、その名前を二度と使わいという規約になっています。

台風19号2019米軍基地最新動画情報

台風19号米軍基地最新進路予想図です。

出典元:JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTERより(https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html)

米軍合同台風警報センターの情報は、6時間おきに更新されています。

台風19号ヨーロッパ(ECMWF)最新予想


台風19号に関するヨーロッパ中期予想センターの台風の進路予想図です。

これらの画像は、ヨーロッパ中期予想センター(ECMWF)のサイトに報じた内容になっています。

出典元:ECMWFよりhttps://www.ecmwf.int/

台風19号最大瞬間風速ウィンディの最新予想


出典元:Windy.comより(https://www.windy.com/?32.436,146.777,4)

Windyの最新情報はこちらから→最大瞬間風速 ? Windy.com

nhk及び気象庁発表台風19号今後の最新予想とは?

こちらが気象庁発表の台風19号今後の最新予想です。

台風第19号 (ハギビス)
令和元年10月11日00時45分 発表

<12日00時の予報>
強さ 非常に強い
存在地域 日本の南
予報円の中心 北緯 29度50分(29.8度)
東経 137度00分(137.0度)
進行方向、速さ 北北西 20km/h(11kt)
中心気圧 925hPa
中心付近の最大風速 50m/s(95kt)
最大瞬間風速 70m/s(135kt)
予報円の半径 70km(40NM)
暴風警戒域 東側 410km(220NM)
西側 310km(170NM)

<12日21時の予報>
強さ 非常に強い
存在地域 御前崎付近
予報円の中心 北緯 34度35分(34.6度)
東経 138度10分(138.2度)
進行方向、速さ 北 25km/h(13kt)
中心気圧 945hPa
中心付近の最大風速 45m/s(85kt)
最大瞬間風速 60m/s(120kt)
予報円の半径 140km(75NM)
暴風警戒域 東側 460km(250NM)
西側 370km(200NM)

<13日21時の予報>
強さ –
温帯低気圧
存在地域 北海道の東
予報円の中心 北緯 42度30分(42.5度)
東経 152度05分(152.1度)
進行方向、速さ 北東 65km/h(34kt)
中心気圧 980hPa
最大風速 30m/s(60kt)
最大瞬間風速 45m/s(85kt)
予報円の半径 220km(120NM)
暴風警戒域 全域 560km(300NM)
出典元:気象庁HPより(https://www.jma.go.jp/jp/typh/)

最後に

台風19号2019米軍基地最新動画情報!ヨーロッパやnhkと気象庁の最新情報をまとめてみました。

今後、台風19号は、強い勢力を保ったまま進んでおります。

気象庁やnhkの天気ニュースなどをマメにチェックするようにして下さい。

また、台風19号のついて更新されましたらづ随時情報を共有したいと思います。

【更新10月11日朝6時】台風19号米軍基地最新動画情報


10月11日6:00am米軍基地による台風19号の最新動画情報を追記します。

こちらが米軍基地の最新動画情報です。


出典元:JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTERより

10月11日600am米軍基地による台風19号に関する情報です。

WTPN31 PGTW 102100
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 20W (HAGIBIS) WARNING NR 023//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 20W (HAGIBIS) WARNING NR 023
DOWNGRADED FROM SUPER TYPHOON 20W
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
101800Z — NEAR 26.3N 138.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 340 DEGREES AT 10 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
285 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 26.3N 138.6E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
110600Z — 28.5N 137.6E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 155 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 355 DEG/ 11 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
111800Z — 30.6N 137.3E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 160 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 015 DEG/ 14 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
120600Z — 33.2N 138.2E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
140 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 23 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
121800Z — 36.9N 141.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
250 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
240 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 40 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
131800Z — 46.3N 158.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
170 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 210 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
330 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
360 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

REMARKS:
102100Z POSITION NEAR 26.9N 138.3E.
10OCT19. TYPHOON 20W (HAGIBIS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 543 NM
SOUTH OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 101800Z IS 55 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z, 110900Z
111500Z AND 112100Z. //
NNNN

【更新10月11日朝12時】台風19号米軍基地最新動画情報

米軍基地による10月11日12時の更新情報を見てみたいと思います。

リサーチしてみましたがそれほど変わった様子は、今のところないようです。

出典元:JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTERより

■Satellite Fix Bulletin
TPPN10 PGTW 110019
A. SUPER TYPHOON 20W (HAGIBIS)
B. 11/0000Z
C. 27.49N
D. 138.00E
E. THREE/HMWRI8
F. T5.5/6.0/S0.0/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR/VIS/MSI
H. REMARKS: 11A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY LG
YIELDS AN E# OF 5.0. ADDED 0.5 EYE ADJUSTMENT FOR LG, TO YIELD
A DT OF 5.5. MET/PT AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS:
10/1828Z 26.33N 138.45E SSMS
10/1829Z 26.43N 138.40E SSMI

MARTIN

■TC Warning Graphic
WTPN31 PGTW 110300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TYPHOON 20W (HAGIBIS) WARNING NR 024//
RMKS/
1. TYPHOON 20W (HAGIBIS) WARNING NR 024
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

WARNING POSITION:
110000Z — NEAR 27.4N 138.0E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 340 DEGREES AT 12 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 035 NM
POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
165 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
165 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 300 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
285 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
200 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
260 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
REPEAT POSIT: 27.4N 138.0E

FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
111200Z — 29.5N 137.4E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
160 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 290 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
215 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
270 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 005 DEG/ 13 KTS

24 HRS, VALID AT:
120000Z — 32.1N 137.7E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
150 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 030 DEG/ 19 KTS

36 HRS, VALID AT:
121200Z — 35.5N 139.9E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 140 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
130 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 280 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
260 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
230 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
290 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 045 DEG/ 30 KTS

EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
130000Z — 39.4N 145.5E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS – 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
010 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
130 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 270 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
280 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
270 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
250 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 050 DEG/ 44 KTS

72 HRS, VALID AT:
140000Z — 49.5N 166.0E
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
EXTRATROPICAL
RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS – 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
180 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT
RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS – 230 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
310 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
300 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
150 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

REMARKS:
110300Z POSITION NEAR 27.9N 137.8E.
11OCT19. TYPHOON 20W (HAGIBIS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 482 NM
SOUTH OF YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12
KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 110000Z IS 53 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110900Z, 111500Z,
112100Z AND 120300Z.//
NNNN

■Prognostic Reasoning
WDPN31 PGTW 110300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 20W (HAGIBIS) WARNING NR
024//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TYPHOON 20W (HAGIBIS), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 482 NM SOUTH OF
YOKOSUKA, JAPAN, HAS TRACKED NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED MULTI-SPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
(MSI) REVEALS A 35 NM WIDE EYE FEATURE PARTIALLY FILLED WITH LOW
LEVEL CLOUDS. THE CONVECTIVE STRUCTURE IN THE INNER CORE HAS
CONTINUED TO DETERIORATE OVER THE PAST 6 HOURS, SUPPORTING THE
PERSISTENT WEAKENING TREND. THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH
CONFIDENCE BASED ON THE EYE VISIBLE IN THE MSI LOOP AND IS SUPPORTED
BY EXTRAPOLATION FROM THE 102026Z AND 102110Z SSMIS 37 GHZ MICROWAVE
IMAGES. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 120 KNOTS IS BASED ON DVORAK
INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF 6.0 BY PGTW AND RJTD AND SUPPORTED BY A RECENT
SATCON ESTIMATE OF 120 KNOTS. THE INTENSITY REFLECTS THE WEAKENING
TREND THAT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR THE DURATION OF THE STORM
EXISTENCE. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATED LOW TO MODERATE (10-20
KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) OFFSET BY GOOD EQUATORWARD OUTFLOW,
STRONG POLEWARD OUTFLOW ENHANCED BY A SHORTWAVE TROUGH APPROACHING
FROM THE NORTHWEST, AND FAVORABLE SSTS (28-29C). HOWEVER, THE CIMSS
TOTAL PRECIPITABLE WATER (TPW) LOOP CONTINUES TO SHOW DRY AIR
INFILTRATING DEEPER INTO THE STORM AND BEGINNING TO WRAP TOWARD THE
CENTER OF TY 20W THAT IS PARTIALLY OFFSETTING THE PREVIOUSLY STATED
FAVORABLE CONDITIONS. HAGIBIS IS CURRENTLY TRACKING
NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF A DEEP-LAYERED
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR) TO THE EAST.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY FROM
THE PREVIOUS PROGNOSTIC REASONING MESSAGE.
B. STEERED BY THE STR LOCATED TO THE EAST, TY HAGIBIS WILL
CONTINUE ON ITS CURRENT TRACK THROUGH TAU 12. IMMEDIATELY FOLLOWING
TAU 12 IT WILL TRACK AROUND THE STR AXIS AND BEGIN ACCELERATING
NORTHEASTWARD ON THE POLEWARD SIDE, MAKING A QUICK LANDFALL NEAR
YOKOSUKA AT ABOUT TAU 36. THE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY
WEAKEN DUE TO INCREASING VWS, SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE
APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH, AND DRY AIR CONTINUING TO WRAP INTO THE
CENTER OF THE SYSTEM. TY 20W WILL BEGIN INTERACTING WITH THE UPPER
LEVEL JET BY TAU 36 AND BEGIN THE EXTRATROPICAL TRANSISTION (ETT). BY
TAU 60 TY 20W WILL BE FULLY EXTRATROPICAL AND WILL HAVE GAINED
FRONTAL CHARACTERISTICS. THE NUMERICAL MODELS ARE IN TIGHT AGREEMENT
WITH A SPREAD OF ONLY 30 NM AT TAU 36, LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE
JTWC TRACK FORECAST THAT IS PLACED JUST SLIGHTLY FASTER THAN THE
MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS.//
NNNN

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